GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/3/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Teruel are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Real Sociedad II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (WWDL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Sociedad II hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TeruelLWDWW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Real Sociedad IIWWDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
TeruelReal Sociedad II
28.1Attack37.7
64.0Defence64.0
33.3Form44.7
44.4Power51.2
0.63xG0.76
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