Teruelvs
Real Madrid II
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 8/31/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Teruel 0-0 Real Madrid II, with an exact score probability of 27%.
Prediction record
Final result
Teruel 0-0 Real Madrid II
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.8% | 32.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.6% | 33.0% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.6% | 34.3% | -2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.06 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Projected Score
Teruel 0–0 Real Madrid II
Exact score probability: 27%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
34.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TeruelLWDLL
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real Madrid IILDDDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TeruelReal Madrid II
23.7Attack50.0
71.1Defence50.0
43.0Form50.0
48.8Power50.0
0.66xG0.69