Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Huesca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Teruel 1-1 Huesca
Original prediction
Huesca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.68 | 24.6% | 30.6% | 6.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.8% | 29.8% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.03 | 44.6% | 39.7% | -5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Huesca
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Huesca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TeruelLLLDL
GF 1 · GA 10 · avg 0.20/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HuescaDLDWW
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TeruelHuesca
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
16.7Form33.3
21.0Power45.3
1.06xG1.25