Tersanavs
Mega Sport
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tersana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tersana 1-0 Mega Sport, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tersana 4-0 Mega Sport
Original prediction
Tersana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.75 | 51.3% | 54.8% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.2% | 28.7% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.38 | 20.5% | 16.5% | -3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.75 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
Tersana 1–0 Mega Sport
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Tersana
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
54.8%
Tersana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TersanaDWDWD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Mega SportLLLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TersanaMega Sport
33.3Attack20.8
70.8Defence50.0
54.2Form8.3
55.9Power29.8
1.19xG0.43