Tersanavs
El Mansura
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/11/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Tersana 0-0 El Mansura, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Tersana 1-1 El Mansura
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.3% | 34.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.54 | 35.6% | 33.0% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 32.8% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.54 · Draw 1.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Projected Score
Tersana 0–0 El Mansura
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TersanaLDWDD
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
El MansuraWLWDD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TersanaEl Mansura
11.1Attack44.4
77.8Defence66.7
44.4Form66.7
47.5Power61.0
0.85xG0.86