GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 9/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tersana · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Tersana 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla, with an exact score probability of 25%.

Prediction record

Final result

Tersana 1-1 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla

Original prediction

Tersana

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.3039.3%40.0%0.7 pts
Draw2.6933.5%33.5%0.0 pts
Away3.3227.2%26.5%-0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Projected Score

Tersana 0–0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla

Exact score probability: 25%

Predicted outcome

Tersana

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Tersana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TersanaWDLDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Baladiyyat Al MehallaLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TersanaBaladiyyat Al Mehalla
26.7Attack20.0
73.3Defence66.7
53.3Form26.7
54.1Power40.7
0.86xG0.57
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