Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Terrassa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Terrassa 1-0 Girona II
Original prediction
Terrassa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.0% | 41.5% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.4% | 27.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 24.7% | 30.9% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Terrassa
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Terrassa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TerrassaLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Girona IIWDWLL
GF 13 · GA 13 · avg 2.60/2.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
TerrassaGirona II
16.7Attack91.7
91.7Defence25.0
58.3Form58.3
58.8Power60.3
1.38xG1.19