Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Terrassa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Terrassa 0-0 Barbastro
Original prediction
Terrassa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 46.7% | 41.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 28.9% | 28.4% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.68 | 24.4% | 30.2% | 5.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Terrassa
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Terrassa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TerrassaWWLLL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BarbastroWLWWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TerrassaBarbastro
33.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power72.0
1.45xG1.17