Terranuova Traianavs
Prato
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Prato · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Terranuova Traiana 0-3 Prato
Original prediction
Prato
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.68 | 24.5% | 34.4% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.7% | 28.8% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 48.9% | 36.8% | -12.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Prato
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Prato has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.25/1.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80