Šternberkvs
SK Krumvir
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie E · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SK Krumvir · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Šternberk 4-3 SK Krumvir
Original prediction
SK Krumvir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.2% | 38.5% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.0% | 22.2% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 37.7% | 39.4% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
SK Krumvir
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
SK Krumvir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20