Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Roma W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ternana W 0-2 Roma W
Original prediction
Roma W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Roma W
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Ternana WLDL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.33/2.33
BTTS 3/3O2.5 2/3
Roma WWLDLL
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Ternana WRoma W
44.4Attack86.7
22.2Defence66.7
11.1Form80.0
29.5Power77.3
1.11xG2.35