Termoli Calciovs
Atletico Ascoli
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone F · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Termoli Calcio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Termoli Calcio 0-0 Atletico Ascoli
Original prediction
Termoli Calcio
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.6% | 37.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.98 | 30.3% | 29.0% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.65 | 34.1% | 33.4% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Termoli Calcio
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Termoli Calcio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40