Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Teplice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Teplice are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Plzen are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Teplice hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Czech Liga, while Teplice holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Teplice
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Teplice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 23 · GA 7 · avg 4.60/1.40