Teplicevs
FK Jablonec
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Jablonec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Teplice 2-0 FK Jablonec
Original prediction
FK Jablonec
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 39.1% | 31.7% | -7.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.2% | 25.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 32.7% | 42.5% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
FK Jablonec
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
FK Jablonec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40