Teplicevs
Dynamo Dresden
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 10/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dynamo Dresden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Teplice 2-0 Dynamo Dresden
Original prediction
Dynamo Dresden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 36.1% | 33.9% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.7% | 26.0% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.2% | 40.1% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Dynamo Dresden
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Dynamo Dresden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 13 · GA 11 · avg 2.60/2.20