Tepatitlánvs
Venados FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/21/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60