TepatitlánvsVenados FC

Tepatitlán are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Venados FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.