GGOALVIO

Tepatitlán logoTepatitlánvsTlaxcala logoTlaxcala

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/20/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tlaxcala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tlaxcala hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tlaxcala holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tlaxcala

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Tlaxcala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánDDWWW

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TlaxcalaWWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánTlaxcala
8.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.0Power18.3
1.53xG1.55
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