Tepatitlánvs
Tlaxcala
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/11/2024, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tlaxcala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tlaxcala hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tlaxcala holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tlaxcala
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Tlaxcala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60