GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/5/2024, 3:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tlaxcala · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Tlaxcala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tlaxcala hold a 5.4-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tlaxcala holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tlaxcala

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Tlaxcala has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
TlaxcalaDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánTlaxcala
8.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.0Power18.3
1.53xG1.55
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