Tepatitlánvs
Tapatío
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/15/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tapatío · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tapatío are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tapatío
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Tapatío has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00