TepatitlánvsTapatío

Tepatitlán are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tapatío are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tapatío hold a 45.8-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Tapatío holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.