Tepatitlánvs
Monarcas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/4/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monarcas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tepatitlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 56.4-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Monarcas
Probability
61.4%
Model confidence
61.4%
Monarcas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60