TepatitlánvsMonarcas

Tepatitlán are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Monarcas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 56.4-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.