GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/3/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 55.8-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánWDWDW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLDDDW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánMineros de Zacatecas
8.3Attack100.0
16.7Defence41.7
0.0Form66.7
13.0Power68.8
1.20xG2.47
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