GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/17/2023, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 55.8-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

61.0%

Model confidence

61.0%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLDWWL

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TepatitlánMineros de Zacatecas
8.3Attack100.0
16.7Defence41.7
0.0Form66.7
13.0Power68.8
1.20xG2.47
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