TepatitlánvsLeones Negros UDG

Tepatitlán are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 50.5-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.