TepatitlánvsIrapuato

Tepatitlán are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Irapuato are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Irapuato hold a 38.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.