Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MX
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Tepatitlán

Tepatitlán

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Durango

Durango

Away
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Tepatitlán(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Tepatitlán
38%
Draw
28%
Durango
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Tepatitlán38%
Draw28%
Durango34%

Tepatitlán leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tepatitlán head into this in Liga de Expansión MX fixture in unknown form, while Durango arrive in unknown form.

Tepatitlán have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Durango have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Tepatitlán and Durango in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Tepatitlán to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Tepatitlán 3830%, Draw 2800%, Durango 3370%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tepatitlán vs Durango?

GoalVio's model predicts Tepatitlán to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tepatitlán vs Durango?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Tepatitlán vs Durango?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tepatitlán vs Durango?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more