GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/28/2024, 1:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dorados are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 55.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánWLWLD

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DoradosLWDDL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánDorados
8.3Attack66.7
16.7Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
13.0Power68.0
1.05xG2.09
View match centre →