GGOALVIO

Tepatitlán logoTepatitlánvsDorados logoDorados

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/12/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Dorados are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 55.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

57.5%

Model confidence

57.5%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DoradosLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánDorados
8.3Attack66.7
16.7Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
13.0Power68.0
1.05xG2.09
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