GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatWDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
8.3Attack91.7
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.0Power62.0
1.29xG2.45
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