GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/21/2024, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Correcaminos UatLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
8.3Attack91.7
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.0Power62.0
1.29xG2.45
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