GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/13/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 49.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

58.9%

Model confidence

58.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánWWLDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Correcaminos UatWWLDL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánCorrecaminos Uat
8.3Attack91.7
16.7Defence33.3
0.0Form58.3
13.0Power62.0
1.29xG2.45
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