GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 7/23/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cimarrones · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Cimarrones have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cimarrones hold a 38.5-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cimarrones holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cimarrones

Probability

54.5%

Model confidence

54.5%

Cimarrones has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CimarronesNo completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
TepatitlánCimarrones
8.3Attack53.8
16.7Defence50.5
0.0Form46.2
13.0Power51.4
1.16xG2.06
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