Tepatitlánvs
Celaya
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/6/2024, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celaya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Celaya are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Celaya hold a 39.8-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Celaya holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Celaya
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Celaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00