GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 5/17/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánDDDWL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
CDS Tampico MaderoDDWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
8.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence88.9
0.0Form44.4
13.0Power54.9
0.99xG1.72
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