GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/9/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánDLWWW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CDS Tampico MaderoWLWDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
8.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence88.9
0.0Form44.4
13.0Power54.9
0.99xG1.72
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