GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/12/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CDS Tampico Madero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold a 42.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CDS Tampico Madero holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CDS Tampico Madero

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

50.7%

CDS Tampico Madero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánWDWLW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CDS Tampico MaderoDDLLW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
TepatitlánCDS Tampico Madero
8.3Attack33.3
16.7Defence88.9
0.0Form44.4
13.0Power54.9
0.99xG1.72
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