Tepatitlánvs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/18/2025, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Tepatitlán are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cancún are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.0 against 13.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cancún
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80