GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/18/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Cancún are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.0 against 13.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cancún

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánDLLDD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CancúnWLDLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TepatitlánCancún
8.3Attack16.7
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.0Power13.2
1.46xG1.54
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