GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/30/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Cancún · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Cancún are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 13.0 against 13.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Cancún holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Cancún

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Cancún has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLDDDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CancúnWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánCancún
8.3Attack16.7
16.7Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
13.0Power13.2
1.46xG1.54
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