TepatitlánvsCA La Paz

Tepatitlán are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CA La Paz are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.