TepatitlánvsCA La Paz

Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CA La Paz are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.