Tepatitlánvs
CA La Paz
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/6/2023, 3:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CA La Paz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold a 44.9-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
CA La Paz
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
CA La Paz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80