GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/13/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atlante FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWDWWD

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TepatitlánAtlante FC
8.3Attack48.4
16.7Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
13.0Power63.9
0.62xG1.91
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