GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/25/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLDLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWWDDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TepatitlánAtlante FC
8.3Attack48.4
16.7Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
13.0Power63.9
0.62xG1.91
View match centre →