GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 3/14/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Tepatitlán are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 51.0-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

64.5%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TepatitlánLLLDW

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWLWDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
TepatitlánAtlante FC
8.3Attack48.4
16.7Defence78.6
0.0Form63.5
13.0Power63.9
0.62xG1.91
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