TepatitlánvsAlebrijes de Oaxaca

Tepatitlán are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (13.0 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.