Premier LeaguePremier League
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Tensung

Tensung

Home
L
13
Full time
Paro

Paro

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
Paro(46%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Tensung
30%
Draw
25%
Paro
46%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Tensung
9
Paro
100
Defence
Tensung
1
Paro
66
Momentum
Tensung
0
Paro
100
Danger (xG)
Tensung
0.00
Paro
4.50
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Tensung)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Paro)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Tensung)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Paro)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
TensungTensung
LW
ParoParo
WD

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
Tensung30%
Draw25%
Paro46%

Paro leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Tensung head into this in Premier League fixture in mixed form (L), while Paro arrive in mixed form (W). Tensung have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Paro over 1 games.

Tactically, Paro hold the edge. Their elite attack (100/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Tensung defence (1/100), while Tensung's attack faces a solid Paro backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Tensung have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Paro have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 5.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Tensung and Paro in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Paro to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Tensung 2962%, Draw 2460%, Paro 4578%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Tensung

Tensung

L
vs Thimphu City
15 Jul 2026
04
W
vs Transport United
13 May 2026
10
Paro

Paro

W
@ Thimphu
16 Jul 2026
51
D
vs Thimphu City
14 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Tensung vs Paro?

GoalVio's model predicts Paro to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tensung vs Paro?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Tensung vs Paro?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Tensung vs Paro?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more